I had no idea the Fed could be such expert wafflers. But, as each month passes, it’s becoming clearer. The overall stock market trend, despite all the back-and-forth, yo-yo Fed decisions over the past 6 months, remains to the upside. Need proof? Check out this weekly S&P 500 chart for the past year: Now, if...

After staying in the green following a sharp rebound the week before this one, the markets finally succumbed to selling pressure after failing to cross above crucial resistance levels. The Nifty stayed under strong selling pressure over the past five sessions and violated key support levels on the daily charts. The range remained wider on...

A smart investor listens to the stock market and this week’s stock market action was a perfect example of why this is important.  It was a roller-coaster week in the stock markets leading many investors to quickly sell holdings when there was a big selloff and scramble to go long again on Friday when the...

This week saw the fabled Hindenburg Omen generate its first major sell signal in three years, suggesting the endless bull market of 2024 may soon indeed be ending. Why is this indicator so widely followed, and what does this confirmed signal tell us about market conditions going into Q1? First, let’s break down the conditions that led...

Semiconductors are at a crossroads, with innovation fueling growth and tariffs threatening profits.  How might you navigate this potentially volatile landscape and identify opportunities without getting burned? In 2025, analysts predict AI will drive explosive demand in the semiconductor industry, fueling innovation and revenue growth. At the same time, this optimism is tempered by the...

When running my StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) scan on Thursday, I was a little surprised to find that 75 exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and large-cap stocks made the cut, especially after Wednesday’s selloff. It was a little ray of hope. A quick sweep of the list didn’t reveal a particular sector or asset class to be...

The Yield Curve The RRG above shows the rotations of the various maturities on the US-Yield Curve. What we see at the moment is that the shorter maturities like BIL, SHY, and IEI are in relative uptrends against GOVT which means that the accompanying yields are being pushed lower. The longer maturities, all inside the...

Uncertainty in the stock market makes it difficult to make investment decisions. When investors sell off stocks, everyone follows without giving it much thought and you’re left trying to figure out which path you should take. We saw this price action in the stock market on Wednesday after the Federal Open Market Committee cut interest...

While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have been holding steady into this week’s Fed meeting, warning signs under the hood have suggested one of two things is likely to happen going into Q1.  Either a leadership rotation is amiss, with mega cap growth stocks potentially taking a back seat to other sectors, or a...

Good morning and welcome to this week’s Flight Path. The “Go” trend in equities continued again this past week but we saw some weakness as GoNoGo trend painted a few weaker aqua bars. Treasury bond prices experienced a change in trend as a few bars of “Go Fish” gave way to a purple “NoGo” bar. U.S....